NFL Week 6 is here, and that means three more NFL underdog picks against the point spread, including quick thoughts on each matchup.
New customers can bet on these best NFL bet underdog recommendations while taking advantage of our top sportsbook promo codes which currently are worth up to $5,050 in welcome bonuses (see below).
I went 1-2 on my Week 5 underdog picks, dropping my ATS season record to 6-8-1. Five of my six underdog selections, though, have won outright.
NFL underdog picks for Week 6: Denver Broncos (+3 Caesars) vs. Los Angeles Chargers
The Broncos have won three straight after an 0-2 start.
Much of the credit belongs to coordinator Vance Joseph’s defense which is limiting foes to 14.6 points (second best in league) and 271.2 total yards (third best) per game.
That’s not promising news for injury-addled quarterback Justin Herbert and the 2-2 Bolts, who are struggling to find their offensive groove under new coach Jim Harbaugh with averages of 17 points (28th) and 263.8 yards (29th) to date.
It’s going to be tough to find that groove in the Mile High City, where the Chargers have won only once in their last 10 visits (0-3 with Herbert), going 3-6-1 ATS.
On the flip side, the Broncos are 12-7 ATS as home underdogs since 2019, and so we’re riding with the Orange and Blue on Sunday in what figures to be a low-scoring AFC West tussle.
NFL underdog picks for Week 6: New York Giants (+3.5 bet365) vs. Cincinnati Bengals
In handicapping this Sunday night matchup in New Jersey, you must separate name from current game.
Sure, it’s Joe Burrow, JaMarr Chase and the Bengals against Daniel Jones’ Giants.
But one team is 1-4 (2-3 ATS) and the other is 2-3 (3-2 ATS).
And Team 1 also is fielding the weakest unit in this game with a defense that is surrendering 29 points and 365.4 yards per outing — both bottom-seven averages in the league.
That’s not exactly a tried and true formula for covering more than a field goal spread on the road in primetime.
Give me the G-Men and the 3.5 points.
NFL underdog picks for Week 6: New York Jets (+2.5 FanDuel) vs. Buffalo Bills
Two of my eight underdog losses this season have come courtesy of the Jets.
That includes last Sunday’s 23-17 defeat to the undefeated Minnesota Vikings as a 2.5-point underdog in London.
Eight days and the season’s first coaching change later, Gang Green is catching 2.5 points once again — this time as a Monday night home ’dog against the rival Bills.
It’s a severely banged-up Buffalo team, though, that hasn’t played well the last two weeks in road losses to the Baltimore Ravens (35-10) and Houston Texans (23-20).
Now comes a third straight road date against Aaron Rodgers and a top-five N.Y. defense.
The Jets, sans Rodgers, have beaten Josh Allen’s Bills as home underdogs in each of the last two seasons.
Add in the expected new-coach bump for the home team, and we’re going back to the underdog well with the Jets on Monday night.
