Luka Doncic’s Dallas Mavericks and Jayson Tatum’s Boston Celtics take the court Thursday night for Game 1 of the 2024 NBA Finals.
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Following are three Game 1 team and player prop picks to consider.
2024 NBA Finals Game 1 odds: Celtics are home favorites (-230 at DraftKings)
As owners of the league’s best regular season record (64-18) and coming off a 12-2 run through the Eastern Conference playoffs, the Celtics are top online sportsbook– consensus 6.5-point home favorites Thursday.
Boston was a consensus -250 on the Game 1 moneyline at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the underdog Mavericks catching +205 ML odds with Caesars Sportsbook promo code START1000 as of late Wednesday.
The game total was at 214.5 points with the odds shaded slightly to the under.
2024 NBA Finals Game 1 prop picks: Celtics over 110.5 points (-105 odds at Caesars Sportsbook)
The Celtics will have had a 10-day layoff since their Eastern Conference finals-clinching win over the Indiana Pacers.
But banking on a big Boston offensive night at TD Garden has been the way to go in 2023-24 as the Celtics rank second in league home scoring in both the regular season (123.1 points per game) and playoffs (114.9).
In the postseason, the Celtics have tallied 113-plus points in six of their eight home contests.
Dallas, meanwhile, is only average defensively, ranking seventh among the 16 playoff qualifiers in defensive rating (111.1 points per 100 possessions).
2024 NBA Finals Game 1 Luka Doncic player prop pick: over 49.5 combined points, rebonuds, assists (-111 or better odds at FanDuel)
If we expect a high-scoring game from the Celtics, the Mavs will be forced to keep pace.
If so, count on continued high volume from one of the league’s elite offensive weapons in Doncic.
Luka scorched the league’s top regular season defensive team, the Minnesota Timberwolves, with per-game averages of 32.4 points, 9.6 rebounds and 8.2 assists in Dallas’ 4-1 Western Conference finals series triumph.
And in his last four games against the Celtics, he’s averaged 33.8 points, 11.8 rebounds and 9.0 assists.
2024 NBA Finals Game 1 Jayson Tatum player prop pick: under 37.5 combined points and rebounds (-113 odds at FanDuel)
Starting center Kristaps Porzingis is expected back Thursday for the Celtics after missing the last 10 games (and entire conference semifinals and finals) with a calf injury.
During his three full playoff games when playing at least 27 minutes, the Boston big man averaged 14 points and 5.7 rebounds per outing.
His return is going to cut into the rest of the rotation’s individual stats across the board, and we see Tatum taking one of the largest hits after averaging a team-most 38.6 points/boards over Boston’s last two series.
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