The matchup for Super Bowl 58 is almost set. Sunday, Jan. 28 features both the AFC and NFC Championship games, which will see two teams advance to Super Bowl 58 in Las Vegas. In the AFC, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs hit the road to face Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Championship game. Kickoff set for 3 p.m. ET. The Chiefs vs. Ravens betting odds show Baltimore is a 4-point favorite at home.
The Ravens earned the No. 1 seed in the AFC after finishing the regular season with a record of 13-4. After a first-round bye, Baltimore defeated the Texans in the Divisional round 34-10. Now, they are just one win away from their third Super Bowl appearance, and first since 2013.
On the other side, Kansas City is the No. 3 seed. The Chiefs took care of business in the Wild Card round, taking down the Dolphins 26-7. Then, Patrick Mahomes played his first career road playoff game last week in the Divisional round. In a back-and-forth game, the Chiefs were victorious, defeating Buffalo 27-24. Kansas City is looking to make its sixth Super Bowl appearance. Not only that, but the Chiefs are looking to repeat as Super Bowl champions.
AFC Championship Chiefs vs. Ravens Betting Odds
Oddsmakers are expecting a close game, but they are giving the edge to Baltimore. The Ravens are 4-point favorites on most sports betting platforms. In addition, Baltimore has moneyline odds of -198, while Kansas City has moneyline odds of +164. The total, or over/under, is listed at 44.5.
It’s important to remember that all betting odds for the AFC Championship can vary from sportsbook to sportsbook and are subject to change up until kick-off.
Both of these teams have been solid against the spread this season. On the year, Kansas City is 11-8 ATS, while Baltimore is 12-6 ATS.
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Chiefs vs. Ravens Prediction: Over 44.5 (-108 odds on FanDuel Sportsbook)
The Chiefs and Ravens have met four times since both Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson have been in the NFL. Mahomes has the edge, as Kansas City is 3-1 in those matchups. However, the Ravens were victorious in their last matchup, as Baltimore beat Kansas City 36-35 on Sept. 19, 2021.
While this will be the first playoff meeting between Mahomes and Jackson, there is one common theme in the previous four matchups: They were all high-scoring games. Those four games saw an average of 59.3 points per game. The Over is 3-1 in those games, and the one game that stayed Under saw 54 total points scored (The total was 55).
The Kansas City offense had its struggles this season, but the Chiefs were able to put up 26 and 27 points in their two playoff games so far. The Ravens held the Texans to 10 points last week, but they were facing a rookie QB making his first career road playoff start. Needless to say, Mahomes has much more playoff experience than that.
Baltimore’s offense has been clicking all season long, scoring 28.4 points per game. That was good for fourth in the league in the regular season. The Ravens could also get a boost on offense if star TE Mark Andrews is able to play. Andrews has been sidelined since November 16 with an ankle injury.
All in all, both offenses should be able to find the end zone enough to take this one over the total.
