The Heat will look to complete the sweep of the Celtics and return to the NBA Finals for the first time since 2020, and for the sixth time since Erik Spoelstra became head coach. Miami appears to have the Celtics’ number as their once-explosive offense has stalled against the Heat’s stifling defense. If tonight’s Eastern Conference contest is anything like the nail-biter elimination game from the Western Conference Finals on Monday night, fans are in for a ton of excitement.
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Best NBA Player Prop Bets for Celtics vs. Heat Game 4
The Celtics’ stars proved to be monumental against the 76ers, but they slowed down significantly in the Eastern Conference Finals, especially in the fourth quarter. However, they have stepped up to the plate with their backs against the wall for multiple years now. There is a good chance they come through here to help prevent an embarrassing end to their otherwise good season.
Miami has gotten a few surprise performances all playoffs long, and two, in particular, stand out above the rest.
Gabe Vincent to Score Over 15 Points (+175 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
Gabe Vincent is another undrafted free agent who is making a name for himself in this year’s postseason. Like Caleb Martin, he has taken his game up a few notches against Boston this round. In the regular season, he averaged nine points, and against the Celtics in this round, he is averaging 17 points per game on 60% shooting from the field and 55% from three-point range.
He is also taking full advantage of the attention that Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo are drawing from the Celtics’ defense at the moment. Vincent is also averaging 37 minutes per game in this round, which bodes well for his chances of covering this wager. In the last game, he scored 29 points on 11-for-14 from the field, including 6-for-9 shooting from deep. With the focus still very much on the Heat’s stars, look for Miami’s starting guard to keep scoring big.
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Jayson Tatum to Score Over 29.5 Points (-108 on Caesars Sportsbook)
Tatum was held to arguably his worst game of the playoffs in Game 3. In the two previous games, he was bad in the fourth quarter, but he still scored over 30 points in both outings. Given how bad he was in the last game, he is likely to come out more aggressive from the start of the game. In the last round, he followed up his worst game of that series with a 51-point explosion to help avoid going home then.
Overcoming a 3-0 deficit may not be on the table but scoring at least 30 points in an effort to avoid a sweep isn’t far-fetched for Tatum. In Game 3, he only shot one free throw. Look for that number to return to the 8-11 range, which would provide a significant boost to his scoring output.
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Caleb Martin to Score Over 15 Points (+160 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
Caleb Martin is one of the two undrafted free agents for the Heat who is playing his way into a big contract. His defense on Jayson Tatum has been as good as it could be. He has been a driving force behind Tatum’s abysmal fourth quarters in Games 1 and 2 and the defensive masterpiece that held Tatum to 14 points in Game 3. Martin’s efforts earned him more playing time so far in this round, and he has taken full advantage on both sides of the court.
In the regular season, he averaged nine points per game. In the Eastern Conference Finals, he is averaging 19 points on 54% from the field and 42% from three-point range. He has topped the 15-point mark in each contest of this round so far, and he doesn’t seem to be slowing down. Thanks to the attention Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo are drawing, he should continue to see good looks from the field.
At the moment, he is connecting at a highly efficient clip.
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Jaylen Brown to Score Over 23.5 Points (-125 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
Jaylen Brown has felt even more of Miami’s lockdown defense than Tatum has. Brown is shooting 37% from the field and 16% from three-point range in the series. That’s in large part to Butler defending him for the bulk of the game. However, he has set the tone in many of Boston’s must-win games over the last couple of years.
It doesn’t get any more must-win than their matchup tonight. Since the 2019-20 season when Brown found his stride as a player in the league, he is averaging 23 points in elimination games. That’s not explosive, but it’s a lot better than the 16- and 12-point performances he has had in the last two games. Look for him to be closer to his season average of 26 in this one.
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Article contributed by David Fletcher.
