With the 2024 NFL regular season starting in less than a month, following is an analysis of the 32 teams’ win total outlooks, including the best over/under odds found for each at the leading NFL betting sites.
Take advantage of our top football betting promo codes at the top-rated online sportsbooks, which currently are offering up to a combined $5,500 in new customer welcome bonuses (see below).
The 2024 strength of schedule mentions refer to rankings of the combined posted win totals of each team’s 17 opponents, as compiled by a number of sources, including our partner NFL odds gurus at The Lines.
Sportsbooks are abbreviated as such: BetMGM (BMGM), Caesars (CZR), DraftKings (DK), FanDuel (FD).
Arizona Cardinals: Over 6.5 (-150 at DK); Under 7.5 (-152 at FD)
Seven victories would be a marked improvement for the Cards, who have posted five or fewer wins in four of the last six seasons, including back-to-back 4-13 campaigns.
Atlanta Falcons: Over 9.5 (-135 at DK); Under 9.5 (+116 at FD)
It’s been six straight seasons with seven or fewer wins for Atlanta, but signs are certainly pointing up in 2024 with the arrival of veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins and the league’s easiest projected schedule.
Baltimore Ravens: Over 10.5 (-110 at CZR); Under 10.5 (+100 at FD)
Coach John Harbaugh’s Ravens have posted double-digit wins in five of the last six seasons, but 2024 presents a challenge playing in the rugged AFC North and facing the fourth-toughest projected schedule.
Buffalo Bills: Over 10.5 (+130 at DK); Under 10.5 (-149 at CZR)
Reaching double-digit wins and the postseason for a sixth straight year will be tough for the Bills, who saw a number of talented veterans depart this offseason, including wide receiver Stefon Diggs, safety Jordan Poyer and cornerback Tre’Davious White.
Carolina Panthers: Over 5.5 (-115 at BMGM); Under 5.5 (+102 at FD)
The Panthers have won five or fewer games in four of the last five seasons and appropriately are tied for the second-lowest victory total on the 2024 board.
Chicago Bears: Over 8.5 (-160 at FD); Under 9.5 (-155 at BMGM)
It’s time for the Caleb Williams Era in the Windy City, and the Bears will need the draft’s top overall pick to hit the ground running to reach nine wins in 2024 for only the second time in the last 12 seasons.
Cincinnati Bengals: Over 10.5 (-134 at FD); Under 10.5 (+120 at BMGM)
Joe Burrow’s health is the key for Cincy which has finished with 12 and 10 victories in the two seasons the quarterback has started at least 11 games and notched four and nine wins in thew two campaigns he hasn’t.
Cleveland Browns: Over 8.5 (-135 at DK); Under 8.5 (+120 at CZR)
The Browns are coming off an 11-6 season and are getting QB Deshaun Watson back from shoulder surgery, but Cleveland is facing the third most difficult schedule in the league.
Dallas Cowboys: Over 9.5 (-144 at FD); Under 10.5 (-180 at DK)
QB Dak Prescott and Co. have finished 12-5 in each of the last three seasons, but oddsmakers clearly see regression ahead with the Cowboys’ 2024 win total set 1.5 to 2.5 wins lower.
Denver Broncos: Over 5.5 (+105 at BMGM); Under 5.5 (-120 at CZR)
There are mile-low expectations in Denver on the heels of seven straight losing seasons and the arrival of rookie QB Bo Nix.
Detroit Lions: Over 10.5 (-122 at FD); Under 10.5 (+110 at BMGM)
Expectations are the exact opposite in the Motor City as coach Dan Campbell’s Lions are coming off their best season (12-5 and a trip to the NFC Championship Game) in more than 30 years.
Green Bay Packers: Over 9.5 (-135 at DK); Under 9.5 (+120 at CZR)
It’s been three years since the Pack posted double-digit victories, but Jordan Love and Co. won seven of their final 10 games a season ago and came awfully close to upsetting the eventual NFC-champion 49ers on the road in the divisional playoffs.
Houston Texans: Over 9.5 (-130 at CZR); Under 9.5 (+122 at FD)
Times have most certainly changed for the AFC South-favored Texans who finished 10-7 in 2023 after winning 11 games combined over the previous three seasons.
Indianapolis Colts: Over 8.5 (+100 at CZR); Under 8.5 (-115 at BMGM)
Indy finished 9-8 a season ago, and that was with rookie starting QB Anthony Richardson starting only four games due to myriad injuries.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Over 8.5 (-110 at DK); Under 8.5 (+100 at CZR)
A third consecutive 9-8 season for coach Doug Peterson and QB Trevor Lawrence would put the Jags over their win total.
Kansas City Chiefs: Over 11.5 (-115 at DK); Under 11.5 (+100 at BMGM)
The league’s highest win total naturally belongs to Patrick Mahomes and the two-time defending Super Bowl champs who went 11-6 in a “down” 2023 after posting 12 or more victories in each of the first five seasons of the Mahomes Era.
Las Vegas Raiders: Over 6.5 (-130 at DK); Under 6.5 (+130 at CZR)
It’s another season with a new coach (Antonio Pierce) and starting quarterback (Gardner Minshew) for the Silver and Black, but it still should be noted that they’ve won at least seven games in four of the last five seasons, including 2023’s 8-9 finish.
Los Angeles Chargers: Over 8.5 (-144 at FD); Under 9 (-120 at CZR)
Aside from his first two seasons at Stanford, new Bolts boss Jim Harbaugh has had 14 straight non-losing full seasons as a coach, capped by 2023’s 15-0 national championship team at Michigan.
Los Angeles Rams: Over 8.5 (-152 at FD); Under 8.5 (+140 at CZR)
The Rams have won nine or more games in six of the seven seasons under coach Sean McVay, but a fresh hurdle awaits this season as they’ll have to do it without retired three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald.
Miami Dolphins: Over 9.5 (-122 at FD); Under 9.5 (+115 at DK)
Miami has posted double-digit wins only twice in the last 15 seasons, but the best finish of that span came a year ago when coach Mike McDaniel’s crew went 11-6.
Minnesota Vikings: Over 6.5 (-150 at BMGM); Under 7.5 (-168 at FD)
It’s been since 2013 that the Vikes have finished with fewer than seven wins, but they’re slated to play the fourth-toughest schedule this season to go along with an inexperienced and unproven QB room in Sam Darnold and rookie J.J. McCarthy.
New England Patriots: Over 4.5 (-145 at CZR); Under 4.5 (+130 at BMGM)
Combine the first season without legendary coach Bill Belichick in 25 years with a rugged division, lingering QB questions and the league’s second-hardest projected schedule and you get the lowest 2024 preseason win total among the 32 teams.
New Orleans Saints: Over 7.5 (-120 at BMGM); Under 7.5 (-106 at FD)
New Orleans has only experienced one losing season (7-10 in 2022) over the last seven, but oddsmakers aren’t expecting much out of the Saints despite the fifth-easiest projected schedule.
New York Giants: Over 6.5 (+122 at FD); Under 6.5 (-130 at CZR)
Starting QB Daniel Jones is back at the helm after missing 11 games in 2023 due to injury, but his top weapon and trusted compatriot, running back Saquon Barkley, now plays for the NFC East-rival Eagles.
New York Jets: Over 9.5 (-150 at DK); Under 10 (-125 at CZR)
The talented Jets easily could end league’s longest playoff drought with the third-softest projected schedule if 40-year-old Aaron Rodgers returns anywhere close to his back-to-back MVP form of 2020-21.
Philadelphia Eagles: Over 10.5 (-120 at BMGM); Under 10.5 (+120 at FD)
Philly has won a combined 25 games over the last two regular seasons and has added Barkley to an already-potent offense, but the Eagles must reverse the negative momentum from the end of last season when they went 1-7, including a blowout playoff loss.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Over 8.5 (+135 at DK); Under 8.5 (-130 at CZR)
The Steelers famously haven’t endured a losing season since 2003 and have added QBs Russell Wilson and Justin Fields, but the 2024 itinerary is brutal as Pittsburgh resides in the league’s toughest division and faces the toughest projected schedule.
San Francisco 49ers: Over 11 (-130 at CZR); Under 11.5 (-125 at BMGM)
Coach Kyle Shanahan’s talented Niners have won 12 and 13 games, respectively, the last two seasons and have made it to at least the NFC title game in four of the last five campaigns so it’s little surprise to see them with 2024’s second-highest win total.
Seattle Seahawks: Over 7.5 (-135 at DK); Under 8.5 (+135 at CZR)
It will be interesting to see how the Seahawks fare without long-time coach Pete Carroll who piloted Seattle to nine or more wins or the playoffs in 12 of his 14 seasons.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Over 7.5 (-150 at FD); Under 8.5 (-140 at BMGM)
It’s been smooth sailing of late for the Bucs who have won eight-plus games and made the playoffs in each of the last four seasons.
Tennessee Titans: Over 6.5 (+118 at CZR); Under 6.5 (-128 at FD)
Tennessee is retooling with new coach Brian Callahan and second-year QB Will Levis — but sans stud running back Derrick Henry — after 7-10 and 6-11 finishes the last two seasons.
Washington Commanders: Over 6.5 (-115 at FD); Under 6.5 (+110 at DK)
There’s ample optimism in D.C. as the Commanders look to bounce back from a 4-13 2023 season with the draft’s second-overall pick, QB Jayden Daniels, and new head coach Dan Quinn.
