The Fourth of July brings us fireworks, parades, backyard gatherings … and the annual Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest.
This year’s event from Coney Island, N.Y., is scheduled to begin at 10:45 a.m. ET Thursday with the women’s competition (airing on ESPN3), followed by the men’s contest at noon (ESPN2).
The men’s contest is expected to be nearly anyone’s game now that perennial champion Joey Chestnut has been banned from the Nathan’s Fourth-of-July event.
Below, we break down the odds and key storylines for the 2024 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest, and what sites are offering odds so you can claim their sportsbook bonuses while betting on the contest.
Check the availability of Nathan’s hot dog odds in your legal sports betting state, as according to DraftKings Sportsbook, hot dog eating contest odds are available in these 16 U.S. states (AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MI, NC, NH, NJ, OR, WA, WY) and the Canadian province of Ontario.
2024 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest odds: Geoffrey Esper is favorite sans Joey Chestnut
An absence from this year’s men’s event is more notable than the list of who’s actually slated to compete.
Joey Chestnut, the 16-time Nathan’s champion and event record holder, is not competing this year due to as sponsorship disagreement.
That means for the first time since 2015, when Matt Stonie edged Chestnut 62-60 in hot dogs consumed, we’ll have a new men’s champ.
The favorite to assume the throne is 49-year-old Oxford, Mass., resident Geoffrey Esper, who finished second to Chestnut last July 4, inhaling 49 franks to the champ’s 62.
Of the odds posted as of Wednesday afternoon at the leading online sportsbooks, Esper was listed with +100 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to -120 (BetMGM sportsbook) odds as the favorite.
James Webb, a 35-year-old Australian, was second on oddsboards at +125 to +200 odds at BetMGM, with Tampa’s Nick Wehry third with odds ranging from +550 (DK, BetMGM) to +1600 (FanDuel).
At FanDuel, you also can bet on Esper’s total number of hot dogs eaten. As of Tuesday, that total was set at 49.5 with -112 odds on both the over and under.
2024 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest odds: Miki Sudo favored to win 10th women’s title in 11 years
While the perennial Nathan’s men’s favorite is absent this July 4, the reigning women’s champ is attempting to add to her impressive resume.
Tampa’s Miki Sudo, 38, has captured nine of the last 10 Nathan’s women’s crowns. Her only absence from the top spot came in 2021 when she was on maternity leave.
Reflecting her dominance, Sudo is a heavy favorite this Thursday with consensus odds of -1265 as of Tuesday. Her best value could be found at FanDuel (-1000).
Japan’s Mayoi Ebihara had the second-best odds but was way back at a consensus +665.
Michelle Lesco, the 2021 champ during Sudo’s absence, is third with odds ranging from +2000 (DK) to +3000 (FanDuel).
Sudo scarfed down 39.5 hot dogs to win in 2023 and set a women’s record with 48.5 eaten in 2020.
Her FanDuel over/under is 39.5 franks this Thursday with the under a -130 favorite.
