After a long wait, the Super Bowl has finally arrived as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 58 in Las Vegas on Sunday, Feb. 11. Kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET.
The NFL world is split on this one, as some think the Chiefs secure the victory, while others think the 49ers will exact some revenge from Super Bowl 54. On top of betting on the point spread, football fans can bet on the Super Bowl 58 MVP, as there’s potential for a non-quarterback to win. Let’s take a deep dive into 49ers vs.Chiefs odds, including moneyline, spread, point totals, and potential Super Bowl MVP odds for non-quarterback.
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Super Bowl 58 49ers vs. Chiefs final odds preview: Who is the favorite heading into Sunday?
Consensus odds at the top sports betting apps have the 49ers listed as 2-point favorites for the big game, with the Chiefs +110 on the moneyline to win the game.
This game marks the fourth time this season that Kansas City has been the underdog. In Week 18 the Chiefs were 3-point underdogs to the Chargers. In the Divisional Round, they were 2.5-point underdogs to the Bills. Then in the AFC Championship game, they closed as 4.5-point underdogs to the Ravens. The Chiefs won all three games outright. Can they make it four tonight?
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Since 2018 when Mahomes became the starter, the Chiefs boast an incredible 10-1-1 against the spread record as an underdog in games he starts and finishes. The most recent ATS win came two weeks ago when the Chiefs defeated the Ravens 17-10 in the AFC Championship game. For reference, Kansas City was lined as a 4.5-point underdog.
If bettors auto-bet Mahomes in the Super Bowl, no one will blame them. He’s elite in these situations. However, the 49ers squad is flush with talent on the offensive and defensive side of the ball. Slowing down RB Christian McCaffrey will be the biggest concern for the KC defense. McCaffrey has scored four touchdowns in two games, and is averaging 94 rushing yards per contest. KC defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo’s unit has been stout against the pass, but it has sprung leaks defending the run, as opponents averaged 113.2 rushing yards per game against them. Through the air, only four quarterbacks threw multiple touchdowns in a game against the Chiefs this season; Zach Wilson, Russel Wilson, Kirk Cousins, and Jordan Love.
The 49ers are favored by 2.5-points, but we’re siding with the Chiefs to win the game outright. You can snag them Kansas City at around +110 on the moneyline.
Super Bowl 58 features two of the top three scoring defenses from the regular season. The Chiefs allowed 17.3 points per contest, while the 49ers yielded 17.5 per game to their opponents. These defenses also did a fantastic job of limiting explosive pass plays during the regular season, allowing 39 and 47 pass plays of 20+ yards respectively.
The Over/Under is 47.5 points at the best betting sites, but we’re siding with the Under and expect a rock fight between two stout defenses.
Super Bowl 58 MVP odds, prediction: Will there be a non-quarterback to take the prize?
It’s a question we ask ourselves every year: Will a non-quarterback win Super Bowl MVP? Six of the previous 10 winners have been quarterbacks, which leaves bettors optimistic that someone other than Mahomes or Bruck Purdy will win this year.
The two popular candidates outside of the quarterbacks will be tight end Travis Kelce and running back Christian McCaffrey. Kelce had a lackluster regular season, but has gone scorched earth in the playoffs, tallying 262 yards and three touchdowns. The important thing that bettors should be aware of is that with MVP voting in Super Bowl 58, fan voting accounts for 20% of the voting. Should Kelce have another big game, we could see a spike in fan voting for him thanks to his relationship with Taylor Swift. If the Swifties at Super Bowl parties get involved, it could be game over for Mahomes.
For the 49ers, McCaffrey presents an intriguing candidate to win Super Bowl MVP. He led the NFL in rushing yards with 1,469 and added 21 total touchdowns. It’s also worth noting that regular season awards wrapped up Thursday evening, and CMC received 147 voting points for MVP while Purdy finished with 97. Should the 49ers secure the victory in Super Bowl 58, it’s certainly plausible that voters will lean towards the 27-year-old running back over Purdy once again.
Rather than play a quarterback to take home the Super Bowl MVP, we’re rolling with Kelce or CMC to take home the award tonight. Kelce can be found at around +1200 while McCaffrey can be found at around +450.