The NFL Draft odds to be the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 draft have seen the same two names at the top of the list for nearly a year: C.J. Stroud and Bryce Young.
What do the current odds say about which quarterback has the edge with just over two weeks until the 2023 NFL Draft? Let’s look at first overall pick odds for Ohio State’s C.J. Stroud and Alabama’s Bryce Young across the top online sportsbooks.
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2023 NFL Draft Odds: Bryce Young or C.J. Stroud First Overall?
The following odds for the No. 1 overall pick NFL Draft are as of April 9.
| Sportsbook | C.J. Stroud | Bryce Young |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -140 | +100 |
| Caesars | -150 | +100 |
| BetMGM | -145 | +110 |
| FanDuel | -140 | +110 |
Each of the four mobile sports betting apps has C.J. Stroud as the favorite to hear his name called first on Thursday, April 27.
If you want to back Stroud, you’d want to head to DraftKings Sportsbook or FanDuel Sportsbook where they are offering the best odds. We can convert Stroud’s odds to be the first overall pick of the 2023 NFL Draft into an implied probability. With odds between -140 and -150, this comes out to a 58-60% chance.
If you believe the recent reports about Bryce Young being locked in as the top pick FanDuel and BetMGM Sportsbook have the best price. Young’s range of odds gives him an implied probability between 47% and 50%.
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First Overall Draft Pick Odds Movement
Going back to May 2022 when the 2023 NFL Draft Odds first opened, Stroud, Young, and Alabama linebacker Will Anderson were bunched closely together as the clear favorites for the first overall draft pick. Stroud was a slight favorite at +200, with Young and Anderson at +225 and +300, respectively.
We had our first dramatic odds shift in January 2023 when Young overtook Stroud and became the odds-on favorite at -110 while Stroud stayed around +200.
These odds continued in that direction, going as far as -180 for Young and +300 for Stroud until the Carolina Panthers shook up the draft by trading with the Chicago Bears for the No. 1 overall spot.
After the Panthers’ trade, Stroud became an overwhelming favorite, reaching as low as -275 or shorter. Young saw his odds reach as long as +300 before bettors started to pour in to take the potential value.
High-profile NFL media reports and draft analysts have still been in favor of Bryce Young at the first overall pick, which has moved the odds to where they are today. Most recently, ESPN’s Chris Mortensen stated Young will be the pick at one for Carolina as the entire Panthers organization “love Bryce Young”.
