March Madness will conclude on Monday, April 3, as the UConn Huskies take on the San Diego State Aztecs in the championship round. The Huskies are nearly eight-point favorites, but the Aztecs’ defense may not only keep it close but put them in a position to steal the game if their offense is effective. It’s a battle of great offense vs. great defense, and which will prevail may be a tossup despite the current betting odds.
The matchup sets up various interesting prop bets, and we put together a few of the best NCAA Championship Game Prop Bets to consider. Take a look below and head over to one of your favorite online sportsbooks to place a wager if any of our suggestions piqued your interest.
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Best NCAA Championship Game Prop Bets
San Diego State Over 65 Points (+142 at FanDuel)
The Aztecs do not have the most potent offense by any stretch of the imagination, but they have risen to the occasion against the better offensive teams they faced during March Madness. They outscored one of the best offenses in Alabama, 71-64, and they found a way to outscore FAU, 72-71, in another high-scoring contest by their standards.
They will need at least 70 points to have a chance in this one, and their defense should create a good number of points to help keep them in the game, especially given the number of turnovers UConn is averaging in tournament play. The Huskies had 15 turnovers against Miami, 17 against Arkansas, and 15 against St. Mary’s. The Aztecs’ defense is far better than all three.
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Alex Karaban to Make At Least Two Threes (+145 at DraftKings)
The focus of the Aztecs will without a doubt primarily be on Adama Sanogo and Jordan Hawkins. That will create more looks from deep than normal for Sanogo’s frontcourt mate, which he and the rest of the Huskies must take advantage of to avoid the upset.
Alex Karaban was fourth in shot attempts on the team this season and shot 40% from deep. He has connected on at least two 3-pointers in three of the Huskies’ five tournament games. When you consider the quality of defense the Huskies’ stars are up against and the additional looks Karaban should get, you have to like his odds to cover this wager.
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Connecticut to Win by 1-5 Points (+450 at FanDuel)
The lowest Spread for the Aztecs on the major sportsbooks is +7, which is why UConn to win by 1-5 points has an opportunity to earn you some major take home. The Huskies have been dominant offensively in tournament play. However, their two best players are up against two of the best defenders the Mountain West Conference has to offer. It’s the defense that has carried the Aztecs this far.
San Diego State’s Nathan Mensah will not require the help defensively that other big men require against Sanogo, and the same goes for Butler defending Hawkins. If the Aztecs can guard the Huskies’ two stars without much help defense, that can significantly limit the output of the Huskies’ remaining players, causing their offense as a whole to suffer.
The Aztecs’ last two games have come down to one point, including the last game against FAU that LaMont Butler won with a shot at the buzzer. UConn has dominated its competition, so if it is a close game, it’s the Aztecs who may be more prepared for the environment. Additionally, the Aztecs stick to the script offensively, regardless of how things look at the moment. The Huskies’ scoring runs have forced other teams to abandon the game plan, trying to hit the home run and get back in the game.
That may not happen with the Aztecs, and if the underdogs stick around long enough, they may not only cover the spread, they may steal the game.
Article contributed by David Fletcher.