Tennessee March Madness Odds: Lady Vols Laying Double Digits vs. Toledo

The Tennessee Lady Vols are back in action in the NCAA Tournament on Monday, March 20, and they’ll begin the game as heavy favorites in their quest to reach the Sweet 16 for the second consecutive season.

At Thompson-Boling Arena, No. 4 seed Tennessee will take on No. 12 seed Toledo at 6 p.m. ET Monday. The winner will advance to the Seattle 3 regional semifinals against No. 1 seed Virginia Tech.

Women’s college basketball lines are not available at all of the nation’s top online sportsbooks, but if you look closely during March Madness, you’ll find them. We took care of that for you regarding Tennessee March Madness odds versus Toledo so let’s examine what we found.

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Tennessee March Madness Odds: Lady Vols vs. Toledo

As expected, the betting odds show that Tennessee is expected to win comfortably in Monday’s game against Toledo. The Lady Vols are listed as 14.5-point favorites by DraftKings Sportsbook. The total is 142 points.

The odds available at other sportsbooks are similar. Here is a look at those.

• BetMGM Sportsbook: Tennessee -14.5 | Total: 141.5 points
• Caesars Sportsbook: Tennessee -14 | Total: 142 points
• BetRivers Sportsbook: Tennessee -14 | Total: 141.5 points

Tennessee (24-11) was favored by 23.5 points in the opening round against No. 13 seed Saint Louis and won by 45 points. That’s a good sign for those looking to back the Lady Vols again. On the other hand, Monday’s opponent Toledo scored a big upset in its first-round game.

The Lady Rockets (29-4) were 10.5-point underdogs against No. 5 Iowa State on Saturday and won 80-73. Toledo led by seven points at halftime and was never seriously threatened in the second half. The Lady Rockets led by as many as 16 points in the third quarter.

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Tennessee vs. Toledo Analysis

The Lady Vols did not play any Mid-American Conference opponents this season, but this is the second year in a row they will face a MAC foe during the NCAA Tournament. Last year, Tennessee defeated Buffalo, 80-67, in Knoxville.

Of course, although the MAC is not one of the elite conferences in the NCAA, Toledo is far from a walkover. In fact, the Lady Rockets have an RPI rating of 28. That’s better than SEC teams Mississippi (24-8), Alabama (20-11), and Georgia (22-11), all of which were given at-large bids to the NCAA Tournament.

Toledo this season has proven it can win on the road against strong competition. On Dec 8, the Lady Vols defeated No. 18-ranked Michigan 71-68. The Wolverines earned a No. 6 seed in the NCAA Tournament and advanced to the second round with a win over UNLV. They lost to LSU in the second round on Sunday night.

The Lady Rockets added to their resume with the convincing win over Iowa State on Saturday. The Cyclones had an RPI rating of 11.

The Lady Vols, whose RPI rating is 14, have won six of their last eight with those two losses coming to No. 1-ranked South Carolina, which has laid waste to every opponent this season en route to a stranglehold on the odds to win the NCAA Tournament.

One of Tennessee’s wins during that stretch was against No. 3-ranked LSU in the semifinals of the SEC Tournament. 

The Lady Vols have proven all season they belong in the second weekend of March Madness, and on Monday night they will clinch a berth in the Sweet 16. 

This spread of 14.5 points, on the other hand, is a different story. Look for Toledo to remain competitive in this game and cover the 14.5-point spread.

Article contributed by Corey Roepken. | Photo By Kate Luffman/Tennessee Athletics