The 2022-2023 NFL Playoffs are officially down to eight teams as we head into the next round. The NFL Playoff schedule and odds for the Divisional Playoffs are officially set following the Dallas Cowboys’ dominant performance over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Monday’s Wild Card weekend finale.
The top online sportsbooks have started taking action on the games which will no doubt be the most bet-on events for the rest of the season, concluding with Super Bowl 57 in Glendale, Ariz.
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NFL Playoff Schedule for the Divisional Round
We have four games on the docket between Saturday and Sunday with the winners advancing to the conference championships next weekend.
Here’s a look at the NFL divisional playoff schedule with times and where you can watch the action unfold.
Saturday, Jan. 21
Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs: 4:30 p.m. ET, NBC
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles: 8:15 p.m. ET, FOX
Sunday, Jan. 22
Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills: 3 p.m. ET, CBS
Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers: 6:30 p.m. ET, FOX
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NFL Odds for the Divisional Playoffs
Sportsbooks are expecting more scoring with these matchups compared to last weekend, as the lowest total we have currently sits at 46, and two games have over-unders of 50 points or more. There are also two games with spreads of a touchdown or more, both taking place on Saturday.
Here’s the spread, moneyline, and point total for each divisional playoff game along with some stats and betting trends for each team.
Note: The odds below are from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Jan. 17.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs
Point Spread: Kansas City -8.5
Moneylines: KC (-425) | JAX (+340)
Total: 51.5 points
What to Watch: The Jaguars come into this game having just pulled off the third-largest comeback in NFL Playoff history. Waiting for them is a rested Kansas City Chiefs team and bye-week savant, Andy Reid. In Reid’s career as an NFL coach, he is 27-4 in games following a bye week.
These two teams met in Week 10 with the Chiefs winning 27-17. The Jags ended this game with a 3-7 record before going on their hot streak and winning six of their last seven games.
Despite being tied for the most regular season wins this year, Kansas City has the fourth-worst cover percentage in the league at 37.5% (6-10-1) including just two wins against the spread as the home team. The Chiefs have been favored by a touchdown or more in eight games this year, going 3-4-1. In playoff games with Patrick Mahomes under center, Kansas City has been 7-point favorites or more six times. The Chiefs are 4-2 straight up and 3-2 ATS.
Jacksonville is 9-9 ATS on the season and 4-5 as the away team. The Jaguars have performed much better against the spread in recent weeks, however, going 5-2 since December. Jacksonville has been a touchdown or more underdog just once this year: getting 9.5 against the Chiefs and losing by 10.
There is no secret to this game. The Jags’ defense will have to come up with key stops, particularly when it comes to Mahomes and the passing game. Jacksonville ranks 30th in pass DVOA, giving up the fifth-most passing yards per game. Keep an eye on Chiefs’ running back Jerick McKinnon who has become a fixture in the passing game as Jacksonville has allowed the second most receptions and receiving yards to running backs.
On the flip side, the Chiefs’ defense will need to do something it has struggled with all year, which is create turnovers. Kansas City is tied for the ninth-fewest takeaways this season with 20.
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Point Spread: Philadelphia -7.5
Moneylines: PHI (-330) | NYG (+275)
Total: 48 points
What to Watch: Death, taxes, and the Giants covering the spread. The G-Men have basically been locks against the spread this year, covering a league-leading 77.8% of their games. For reference, the next closest team is the Cincinnati Bengals at 70.6%. The Giants have been more than comfortable away from MetLife Stadium, as they have the league’s best record ATS as the away team at 7-1 (87.5%). Against the Eagles, the Giants were 0-2 straight up and covered the spread once.
The Eagles are 8-9 ATS but have been strong at home, going 6-3, which is tied for the third-best cover percentage. Philadelphia struggled down the stretch with QB Jalen Hurts on the sideline and will look to jump out to a hot start following the bye week.
The key thing to watch here will be the Giants’ ability (or lack thereof) to stop Hurts and the rushing attack. The Giants rank 30th in rush DVOA, allowing the second-most yards per attempt and the fifth-most rushing yards per game. In their first matchup in Week 14, Miles Sanders and Hurts combined for over 200 rushing yards and three scores, pushing Philly to a 26-point win.
Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills
Point Spread: Buffalo -5
Moneylines: BUF (-225) | CIN (+190)
Total: 49 points
What to Watch: This game opened as Buffalo -3.5 and has been bet up to -5 as of Jan. 17. The Bengals have the second-best record against the spread both overall and in away games at 12-5 and 7-2, respectively.
Buffalo, on the other hand, is 8-8-1 ATS and has struggled at home in Orchard Park, N.Y. The Bills are tied for the fourth-worst cover percentage at home, going 3-5 ATS.
Both teams will be looking for bounce-back performances after struggling in their Wild Card matchups. The Bills and the Bengals both had their hands full at home against backup quarterbacks, winning by three and seven points, respectively.
The key battle to pay attention to here will be the Cincinnati Bengals’ offensive line against the Buffalo Bills’ defensive front. Bengals left tackle Jonah Williams’ status is in doubt after suffering a dislocated kneecap against the Ravens and right guard Alex Cappa could miss his second-straight game with an ankle injury.
Buffalo ranks 14th in pressure rate and 15th in sack rate, so going up against an offensive line missing two key starters could be a huge turning point in this game.
Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers
Point Spread: San Francisco -3.5
Moneylines: San Fran (-190) | Dallas (+160)
Total: 46
What to Watch: The Cowboys are coming off a dominant performance against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers which coincided with Dallas’ first playoff road victory since 1992.
For San Francisco, can the legend of Brock Purdy continue? Mr. Irrelevant is 6-0 as the starter since taking over for the injured Jimmy Garoppolo, putting up 16 passing touchdowns and two interceptions. This will no doubt be his toughest defensive test, as Dallas ranks second in total defensive DVOA and is third in pressure rate.
Dallas QB Dak Prescott will need to be at his best, as the vulnerability for San Francisco comes through the air. The 49ers allowed the 13th-most passing yards per game but the second-fewest rushing yards per game. Making matters worse, the Dallas rushing attack has averaged fewer than 100 yards per game in its last four.
